No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $4.84
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.37
Polymarket Trader
gxgrdvdhrd
0xded267f3884d69574ee8d6c5be05b71166cd4a85
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.14
- Realized PnL
- -$3.66
- Win rate
- 14.3%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.1%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- Multiplier
- 7.66x
- User PnL
- -$2.76
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $3.38
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.63
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
No position
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $3.8
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.2
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.3%
- Current value
- $2.52
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.48
- Multiplier
- 1.99x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $3.22
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $3.22
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $2.34
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $1.66
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $2.72
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $1.32
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.68
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
N
No position
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $1.46
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.74
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $2.21
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0.79
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
N
No position
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $2.21
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
N
No position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.79
N
No position
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.2%
- Multiplier
- 2.92x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?No 92.3% 5 shares
- Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?No 45% 3 shares
- Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes 68% 4 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?No 49.3% 10 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?No 52% 4 shares
- Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?No 77% 5 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes 42% 3 shares
- US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?No 92% 2.5 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?No 47.9% 10 shares
- Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?No 74% 3 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 68.2% 5 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes 41% 3 shares