No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $151.69
- Potential payout
- $254.94
- Potential profit
- $103.25
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $2.89
Polymarket Trader
OzymandiasR
0xded8c47ec78f714d0be7314e0d72eb24f537d5eb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $365.35
- Realized PnL
- $742.34
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $154.78
- Potential payout
- $205
- Potential profit
- $50.22
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $12.48
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $24.36
- Potential payout
- $162.41
- Potential profit
- $138.04
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$29.09
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $34.52
- Potential payout
- $143.85
- Potential profit
- $109.33
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $7.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $120.45
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.32
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.9
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.18
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.19
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.5
Yes position
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.23
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.38
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.36
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.02
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.68
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.97
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $16.42
No position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.39
Yes position
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.29
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.85
Yes position
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.63
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.56
Yes position
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.55
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.08
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.78
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.42
Yes position
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.26
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes 9.6% 10.43 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 71% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 73% 15 shares
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes 14% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 85% 15 shares
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes 13% 25 shares
- Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes 12% 25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 70% 40 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 86% 30 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 61% 15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 61% 20 shares
- Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes 20.8% 33.32 shares