Yes position
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $308.51
- Potential profit
- $308.51
- User PnL
- -$267.69
Polymarket Trader
0xdeEd8dA2923C34D6839cD738C79a371f4A80900D-1773594568997
0xdeed8da2923c34d6839cd738c79a371f4a80900d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $361.02
- Realized PnL
- $3.72
- Win rate
- 81.8%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $175.36
- Potential payout
- $233.82
- Potential profit
- $58.45
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$24.64
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $26.64
- Potential payout
- $213.12
- Potential profit
- $186.48
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$113.36
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $102.81
- Potential payout
- $112.36
- Potential profit
- $9.55
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $24.74
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.74
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $21.05
- Potential payout
- $21.05
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2.8
No position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.42
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.3
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
No position
Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.16
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 25% 102.56 shares
- Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?Yes 14% 9.74 shares
- Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?Yes 71% 95.34 shares
- Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?Yes 94.4% 105.96 shares
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 81.9% 122.07 shares
- Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?No 96% 10.42 shares
- Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?Yes 93.3% 107.21 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 39% 102.56 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No 95% 21.05 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 80% 25 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?No 89% 112.36 shares
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 89.5% 111.74 shares