Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $695
- Potential profit
- $695
- User PnL
- -$201.55
Polymarket Trader
yjnumber1
@JiaoY82878
0xdef22a5ddb36586eea89fb9145e66f3ae304b9ec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $244.87
- Realized PnL
- $3.22
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $244.87
- Potential payout
- $244.99
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- $90.27
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$8.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.88
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
No position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 41°C or higher on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.37
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.67
No position
Tria FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.98
Yes position
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.08
No position
Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?
Ends Oct 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.3
No position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 91% 5 shares
- Tria FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 0.2% 1,000 shares
- Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No 99.6% 611.3 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No 99.1% 3,900 shares
- Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 61% 166.8 shares
- Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 62% 166.8 shares
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 3.6% 120 shares
- Xi Jinping out in 2025?No 99.2% 100 shares
- Xi Jinping out in 2025?No 97.5% 100 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 86.9% 20 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No 59% 8 shares
- Liverpool wins the Premier League?No 24.8% 16.45 shares