No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $124.47K
- Potential payout
- $129.72K
- Potential profit
- $5.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.36K
Polymarket Trader
bigbonder
0xdef6f7b147246e2bab5422c7363cdebbfd54f69a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $193.69K
- Realized PnL
- $8.04K
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $32.38K
- Potential payout
- $35K
- Potential profit
- $2.63K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Current value
- $5.79K
- Potential payout
- $34.69K
- Potential profit
- $28.9K
- Multiplier
- 5.99x
- User PnL
- -$11.55K
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Current value
- $28.9K
- Potential payout
- $34.69K
- Potential profit
- $5.79K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $11.55K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $301.18
- Potential payout
- $2.41K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$132.38
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.85K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $150
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.98
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $546.42
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.96
No position
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.38
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.95
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.7% 600 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 18% 12,000 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 83% 11,987.93 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.3% 26,178.95 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 45.3% 8,178.95 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 83% 1,920.93 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 83% 10,000 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes 2.1% 50 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No 89% 35,000 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 92.5% 94,476.23 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 90.5% 10,047.72 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 90.5% 50.23 shares