Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.37K
- Potential profit
- $26.37K
- User PnL
- -$14.23K
Polymarket Trader
theyreTellingYouTheTruth
0xdef9b64c836d2e9b4108c70ac065b67d252c651a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $126.77K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$11.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.23K
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.45K
No position
Trump and Biden both win nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6K
No position
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.94K
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.37K
No position
Caroline Ellison not sentenced to prison?
Ends Sep 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
No position
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.25
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.18
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.33
No position
Will Trump say "hillbilly" during RNC speech?
Ends Jul 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.11
No position
Will Trump say "crypto/Bitcoin" during RNC speech?
Ends Jul 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.6
No position
Will Biden say "Folks" three or more times during drop out speech?
Ends Jul 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.54
Yes position
Will Biden say "Kamala" or "Harris" during drop out speech?
Ends Jul 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.64
Yes position
Will Biden say "Sick" during drop out speech?
Ends Jul 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.25
Yes position
Will Biden say "Drop out" during drop out speech?
Ends Jul 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$98.35
Yes position
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?
Ends Oct 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$135.34
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$227.45
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$228.03
Yes position
Will Biden resign during his speech today?
Ends Jul 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$292.5
Yes position
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$492
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$494.67
Yes position
Caroline Ellison sentenced to 1-11 months in prison?
Ends Sep 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
Yes position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.52K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?No 57% 20 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes 53.9% 17,202.8 shares
- Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?Yes 2.7% 38,870.56 shares
- Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?Yes 2.7% 26,073.24 shares
- Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?Yes 2.6% 827.88 shares
- Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?No 96.2% 1,035.12 shares
- Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?No 96.4% 1,076.88 shares
- Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?Yes 69.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 41.4% 23,916.43 shares
- Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?Yes 5% 2,711.53 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 48.3% 100,162.37 shares
- Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?No 97.1% 42,746.03 shares