Polymarket Trader

zar69

0xdf0d0579f8935d735ec6c69b079cb600f909c7be

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $582.5
Realized PnL: $9.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $12.5K
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will there be a US Government shutdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.83K
Potential profit: $10.83K
User PnL: -$529.98

Yes position

Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.69K
Potential profit: $4.69K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.87K
Potential profit: $2.87K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$200

No position

California redistricting referendum passes?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$160

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$29.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.08K
User PnL: -$61.95

Yes position

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $201.67
Potential payout: $986.63
Potential profit: $784.96
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$48.33

Yes position

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $784.02
Potential profit: $784.02
User PnL: -$500

No position

James Comey arrested by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769.23
Potential profit: $769.23
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $723.61
Potential profit: $722.89
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$99.28

Yes position

Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $12.84
Potential payout: $694.26
Potential profit: $681.41
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $687.75
Potential profit: $687.75
User PnL: -$49.28

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$200

No position

Bitcoin above $120000 on August 13?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $645.16
Potential profit: $645.16
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Guillermo del Toro win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $587.84
Potential profit: $587.84
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $581.45
Potential profit: $581.45
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $367.27
Potential payout: $578.38
Potential profit: $211.11
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $6.02

No position

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $556.15
Potential profit: $556.15
User PnL: -$200

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $914.67

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $753.11

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $596.2

No position

Will Biden issue more pardons than Trump?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $584.44

Yes position

Will Trump issue 25-29 executive orders on Day 1?

Ends Jan 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $542.29

No position

Bitcoin above $122000 on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $506.75

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $469.33

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $465.21

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $109K and $110K on September 4 at 4PM ET?

Ends Sep 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $457.22

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $354.55

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.96

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104,000 and $106,000 on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340.54

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 11?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $317.59

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313.02

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on July 30?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.37

Yes position

Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.96

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.12

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.29

Yes position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 22?

Ends Aug 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.92

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.09

No position

Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.42

No position

Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.24

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.67

No position

Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Yes 20% 50 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 76% 65.79 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 72% 69.44 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 59% 84.75 shares
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

No 92.2% 287.68 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 67% 149.25 shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 33% 388.46 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 64.1% 132.61 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 72% 280 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

No 88.7% 225.4 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.7% 130.21 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.5% 550 shares