Polymarket Trader

0xDf1ef6B484DeBcb1D50B84A271278Ded4925Ed51-1768719339852

0xdf1ef6b484debcb1d50b84a271278ded4925ed51

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.31
Realized PnL: -$5.89
Win rate: 52.6%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 9, 11AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $343.33
Potential profit: $343.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.71
Potential profit: $150.71
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $5.31
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $119.69
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $4.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.18
Potential profit: $62.18
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.38
Potential profit: $57.38
User PnL: -$2

New Zealand position

T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealand

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.46
Potential profit: $55.46
User PnL: -$52.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.19
Potential profit: $53.19
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump say "BLM" or "Black Lives Matter" during the Black History Month reception?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $42
User PnL: -$1.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.85
Potential profit: $33.85
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.17
Potential profit: $29.17
User PnL: -$9.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $23.53
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.05
Potential profit: $21.05
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.29
Potential profit: $15.29
User PnL: -$8.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.1
Potential profit: $13.1
User PnL: -$1.99

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $80 on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.55
Potential profit: $11.55
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$0.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

Yes position

Will there be 12–14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.03

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 24, 11AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2

Drexel Dragons position

Drexel Dragons vs. Elon Phoenix

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 125 shares
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Down 2% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Down 0.8% 125 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Down 0.1% 314.99 shares
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealand

New Zealand 94% 55.46 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 141.66 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Yes 10.1% 99.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Yes 1.4% 141.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Yes 8% 68.28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1PM ET

Down 0.3% 2,200 shares
Solana Up or Down - February 24, 11AM ET

Down 10% 99.99 shares
Solana Up or Down - February 24, 11AM ET

Down 8% 5 shares