Polymarket Trader

threeballs

0xdf224d90995a738678b6ae6f066e026e8734df0f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $469.1
Realized PnL: $37.17
Win rate: 95%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $328.22
Potential payout: $5.05K
Potential profit: $4.72K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $251.85

Yes position

Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$120.39

Yes position

Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $6.79
Potential payout: $387.82
Potential profit: $381.03
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$2.9

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$42

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.96
Potential profit: $299.96
User PnL: -$21

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $134.1
Potential payout: $136.62
Potential profit: $2.53
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.78

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.71
Potential profit: $57.71
User PnL: -$18.34

No position

Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.62
Potential profit: $56.62
User PnL: -$49.72

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $27
User PnL: -$12.75

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $22
User PnL: -$6.98

Yes position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$15.2

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on November 28?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on December 1?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2

Down position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on December 2?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96
Potential profit: $1.96
User PnL: -$0.94

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-29?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.25

Yes position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

Down position

FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on December 1?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36

No position

X Money launch in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will Valencia win on 2025-11-21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Packers position

Vikings vs. Packers

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 23.5%
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of November?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Microsoft reach $608 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 76.5%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 5.4% 500 shares
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?

Yes 11% 500 shares
Will Trump visit China by May 31?

No 32% 16 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 96.2% 16.63 shares
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?

Yes 72% 8.33 shares
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

Yes 3.6% 277.78 shares
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Yes 76% 20 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 89% 23.6 shares
X Money launch in 2025?

No 98.9% 2.02 shares
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

No 99.9% 22.02 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025?

No 99.7% 120.36 shares
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?

No 96.9% 41.28 shares