No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.54K
- Potential profit
- $20.54K
- User PnL
- -$102.68
Polymarket Trader
0xdf273312fAFA86e9e02BE94e436e542Cd3254753-1769104299490
0xdf273312fafa86e9e02be94e436e542cd3254753
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.34K
- Realized PnL
- -$418.32
- Win rate
- 16.7%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $16.13K
- Potential profit
- $14.75K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.18K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.71K
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- User PnL
- $706.89
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.4%
- Current value
- $64.69
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $560.31
- Multiplier
- 9.66x
- User PnL
- -$35.31
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.8%
- Current value
- $202.16
- Potential payout
- $617.28
- Potential profit
- $415.12
- Multiplier
- 3.05x
- User PnL
- $102.16
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.62
- Potential profit
- $134.62
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.21
- Potential profit
- $86.21
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.69
- Potential profit
- $57.69
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.69
- Potential profit
- $57.69
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.28
- Potential profit
- $9.28
- User PnL
- -$4.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.25
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.58
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Paraguay position
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Germany position
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$496.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots AND France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?53.8% 36.65 shares
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners AND Ismael Saibari: 1+ shots AND Cody Gakpo: 1+ shots57.5% 51.51 shares
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceGermany 34% 29.41 shares
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay 37% 13.51 shares
- Ayase Ueda: 1+ shots AND Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 AND Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots66% 44.11 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 0.2% 1,923.07 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes 61% 49.18 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes 52% 57.69 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 52% 57.69 shares
- Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?Yes 58% 86.21 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?Yes 51% 98.04 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 99% 79 shares