No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $2.53K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $464.22
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $343.01
Polymarket Trader
Mahnic
0xdf34a77fe9c5cd96c297f7744d53f9025412dc86
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.99K
- Realized PnL
- $2.9K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$450.9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- User PnL
- -$719.99
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $405
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $195
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $31
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $570
- Potential profit
- $570
- User PnL
- -$385.5
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $264
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $36
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $49
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $184.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $115.5
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $10.5
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $280.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $19.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $28.5
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $259.49
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $40.5
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $34.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $772.52
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $585.83
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.1
No position
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.42
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.99
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.75
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.39
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
Yes position
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.56
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 90 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.75
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
No position
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.9
No position
Will Zoran Stevanović be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 2,743 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 59% 500 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 71% 100 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 72% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 53% 578.94 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Yes 24% 200 shares
- Kash Patel out by May 31?Yes 39% 300 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes 87% 220 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?No 55% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No 58% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 68% 300 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 68% 273 shares