No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $6.82K
- Potential payout
- $6.83K
- Potential profit
- $17.08
- User PnL
- $73.1
Polymarket Trader
tttt123
0xdf409ebc2cda86c98f3abf7666ff4bdc01ff38b8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.91K
- Realized PnL
- $4.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $135
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $65
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$36.3
No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $87
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $113
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$16
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $189
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $11
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $188
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $12
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $15.96
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $182
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $18
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $112
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $88
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $71.44
No position
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $166
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $34
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.6
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.4
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$141.95
No position
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $169
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $31
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $104
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $96
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$14.56
No position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $151
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $49
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $4.71
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $181.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $18.1
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $53.9
No position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $107
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $93
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$35
No position
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.7
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$16.7
No position
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $168
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $32
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $61
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $139
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$74.9
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$128
No position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $191.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $21.11
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $193.6
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $6.4
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $34.21
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-16 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $171
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $29
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $161
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $39
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$7.72
No position
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $185
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $15
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $87.28
No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $184.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $15.1
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $35.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.3
No position
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.08
No position
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C or higher on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.43
No position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.44
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.04
No position
Will Rhea Seehorn win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.9
No position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.8
No position
Will Trump say "Mr. Speaker" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $164.33
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $162.59
No position
Will George Santos attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.78
No position
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.27
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.66
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.72
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.76
No position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.7% 251.65 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.7% 6,577.73 shares
- Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No 78% 15 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No 82% 17.02 shares
- Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the 2026 Bulgarian Parliamentary election by 10-15%?No 70% 7 shares
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No 81% 26.2 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?No 70% 5 shares
- Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?No 58% 21.73 shares
- Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be between 300k and 400k?No 92% 10 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No 90% 12.48 shares
- Stripe IPO before 2027?No 84% 20 shares
- Stripe IPO before 2027?No 83% 20 shares