No position
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $47.73
- Potential payout
- $64.94
- Potential profit
- $17.21
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Polymarket Trader
ineedtostop
0xdf43b6f9cc4696f0447d62f6cb2eed705e921330
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $425.05
- Realized PnL
- $617.86
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $5.31
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $57.19
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$29.69
No position
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $32.94
- Potential payout
- $46.4
- Potential profit
- $13.46
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $7.09
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.1
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
No position
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $31.47
- Potential payout
- $35.56
- Potential profit
- $4.09
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.47
No position
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $32.66
- Potential payout
- $33.48
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $29.83
- Potential payout
- $30.06
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $28.81
- Potential payout
- $29.13
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will White House post 120-139 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $24.23
- Potential payout
- $24.24
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $21.58
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $19.9
- Potential payout
- $21.63
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $19.41
- Potential payout
- $20.42
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
No position
Will White House post 80-99 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.03
- Potential payout
- $19.04
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $15.32
- Potential payout
- $18.57
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
No position
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $14.89
- Potential payout
- $17.41
- Potential profit
- $2.52
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Mayweather position
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $7.54
- Potential payout
- $14.93
- Potential profit
- $7.39
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$2.46
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $12.7
- Potential payout
- $13.25
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will White House post 100-119 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.03
- Potential payout
- $13.04
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $9.83
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $9.78
- Potential payout
- $10.15
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $9.93
- Potential payout
- $10.04
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $6.61
- Potential payout
- $8.64
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $4.73
- Potential payout
- $7.81
- Potential profit
- $3.09
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $7.25
- Potential payout
- $7.54
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.34
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.54
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.53
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.49
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.77
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.1
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.95
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.09
Yes position
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.24
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.52
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.03
No position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.02
Yes position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.44
No position
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.99
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.14
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69
No position
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
Yes position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
No position
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 99.8% 8.02 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 99.8% 14.03 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 99.7% 9.03 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 85% 23.53 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 83.1% 12.03 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 98% 10.2 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 97.9% 10.21 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 99.5% 20.1 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 99.8% 8.02 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No 98.4% 25.42 shares
- Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 98.9% 5.06 shares
- Will Ted Cruz post 20-39 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 99.6% 10.04 shares