No position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.7K
- Potential profit
- $55.7K
- User PnL
- -$25.18K
Polymarket Trader
walterw3
0xdf580f7536144c205f80f6899f65e369bc80cdcb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.55K
- Realized PnL
- $34.19K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.47K
- Potential profit
- $36.47K
- User PnL
- -$19.97K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.37K
- Potential profit
- $11.37K
- User PnL
- -$2.83K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.48K
- Potential profit
- $7.48K
- User PnL
- -$1.25K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $3.09K
- Potential payout
- $6.78K
- Potential profit
- $3.7K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$89.72
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.75K
- Potential profit
- $4.75K
- User PnL
- -$1.65K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $1.84K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $305
Yes position
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $2.62K
- Potential profit
- $2.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$100.87
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$908.16
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $7.45
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$565.67
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$270.98
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $995
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$114
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $272.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $227.5
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $99.5
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $436.9
- Potential profit
- $436.9
- User PnL
- -$235.58
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $200
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $34
Yes position
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $131.58
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $31.58
Yes position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will Coinbase list $PEPE in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.79
- Potential profit
- $54.79
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
$WIF listed on Coinbase in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.53
- Potential profit
- $52.53
- User PnL
- -$40
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.08K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.31K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $937.98
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $889.46
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $807.52
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $749.99
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $743.22
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $680.67
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.15
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.73
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.33
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.47
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.01
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No 13% 1,923.08 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No 26.4% 5,008.99 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No 18% 5,561.16 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No 27.9% 5,008.99 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 24.1% 11,678.14 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 46% 652.17 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 64% 1,000 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No 53.9% 436.9 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?No 45% 326 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?No 44% 844.14 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 64% 1,000 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?No 19.4% 1,393.64 shares