No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.12M
- Potential profit
- $1.12M
- User PnL
- -$11.22K
Polymarket Trader
TheRedChip
0xdf6da574f8b0c0ce5e01ddb1c5a49b87993e9c5c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $185.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $118.04K
- Potential profit
- $118.04K
- User PnL
- -$169.5
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.31K
- Potential profit
- $76.31K
- User PnL
- -$8.92K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.07K
- Potential profit
- $73.07K
- User PnL
- -$640.17
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.74K
- Potential profit
- $71.74K
- User PnL
- -$626.07
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.74K
- Potential profit
- $71.74K
- User PnL
- -$627.72
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.7K
- Potential profit
- $71.7K
- User PnL
- -$615.15
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.46K
- Potential profit
- $65.46K
- User PnL
- -$313.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.69K
- Potential profit
- $58.69K
- User PnL
- -$643.74
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.86K
- Potential profit
- $52.86K
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
No position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.43K
- Potential profit
- $47.43K
- User PnL
- -$7.07K
Yes position
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.46K
- Potential profit
- $46.46K
- User PnL
- -$4K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.36K
- Potential profit
- $41.36K
- User PnL
- -$1.21K
Yes position
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.99K
- Potential profit
- $37.99K
- User PnL
- -$1.26K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.54K
- Potential profit
- $36.54K
- User PnL
- -$713.01
No position
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.01K
- Potential profit
- $36.01K
- User PnL
- -$6.1K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.62K
- Potential profit
- $34.62K
- User PnL
- -$670.82
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.21K
- Potential profit
- $32.21K
- User PnL
- -$621.08
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.19K
- Potential profit
- $31.19K
- User PnL
- -$686.78
No position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.62K
- Potential profit
- $30.62K
- User PnL
- -$5.51K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.48K
- Potential profit
- $29.48K
- User PnL
- -$617.56
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.39K
- Potential profit
- $29.39K
- User PnL
- -$603.93
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.35K
- Potential profit
- $29.35K
- User PnL
- -$3.85K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.38K
- Potential profit
- $28.38K
- User PnL
- -$591.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.65K
Yes position
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.74K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.58K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.3K
No position
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.82K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.53K
Yes position
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.66K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.62K
Yes position
Will Elon tweet between 220 and 239 times September 5–12?
Ends Sep 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.65K
Yes position
OpenAI browser by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.02K
Mamdani position
Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Prop 50?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.88K
Yes position
Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86K
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.77K
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 28 - April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58K
Yes position
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times April 4 - 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06K
No position
Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58K
No position
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23K
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14K
No position
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78K
Yes position
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.63K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59K
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 22?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54K
Yes position
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48K
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times August 29–September 5?
Ends Sep 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No 99.2% 79.03 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No 99.7% 1,808 shares
- Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 12.1% 5 shares
- Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.7% 5,555 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?No 40.4% 3,415.64 shares
- Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes 96.9% 2,593.63 shares
- Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes 97% 547.05 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 99.1% 1,111 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Yes 1.8% 229.52 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?Yes 17% 1,056.32 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Yes 1.9% 359.99 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?Yes 5.3% 277.29 shares