Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $950
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.05K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $50
Polymarket Trader
Pablito112
0xdf755a086a8355ccffd630d00e9692cfa4bc29c6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.01K
- Realized PnL
- $9.96K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$960
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$710
N
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $959.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $40.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $159.5
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$450
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $999.97
- Potential profit
- $894.98
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$105
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?
Ends Jun 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $827.54
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $801.87
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $752.72
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $595.48
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $579.58
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $564
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $518.61
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.4
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373.63
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.49
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $329.99
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $292
Yes position
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.78
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275
No position
Scroll airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.63
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227
Yes position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225
Yes position
Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.39
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.13
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178
No position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 10,000 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 94% 0.62 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Yes 0.5% 999.98 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?No 91.5% 131.78 shares
- Will Solana dip to $110 in January?No 88.9% 84.33 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes 87% 211 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes 93% 164 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?No 94.7% 22.03 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $116,000 October 6-12?No 94% 31.05 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in October?No 80% 43.75 shares
- Will Solana dip to $190 September 29-October 5?No 81% 64.19 shares
- Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?No 44% 52.57 shares