Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $612.96
- Potential payout
- $15.72K
- Potential profit
- $15.1K
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- $1.51
Polymarket Trader
gummy-usb
0xdf8103a369799de9f938a6ffcfca446e1c3e697d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.56K
- Realized PnL
- $10.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $6.68K
- Potential payout
- $8.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $372.05
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $2.45K
- Potential payout
- $7.91K
- Potential profit
- $5.46K
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$77.67
Yes position
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
Ends Oct 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $522.2
- Potential payout
- $7.46K
- Potential profit
- $6.94K
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$47.39
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $228.2
- Potential payout
- $6.52K
- Potential profit
- $6.29K
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$11.85
Yes position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $469.12
- Potential payout
- $5.86K
- Potential profit
- $5.39K
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.72K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.49K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$102.18
No position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.19K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $312.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $234.38
Yes position
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $48.21
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$160.42
Yes position
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $194.47
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$169.03
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $1.83K
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $96.48
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $136.79
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $1.75K
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $152.24
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $170.07
Yes position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $295.29
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$169.16
No position
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $924.9
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $698.01
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$243.42
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $765
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $735
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $75
Yes position
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $502.4
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $753.6
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$148.48
Yes position
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $22.92
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$69.65
No position
Will Trump deport 300-400k people?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $891.2
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $222.8
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $142.07
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $88.9
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $66.94
No position
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $944.18
- Potential payout
- $955.16
- Potential profit
- $10.98
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $24.83
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $912
- Potential profit
- $912
- User PnL
- -$24.9
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $858
- Potential profit
- $858
- User PnL
- -$163.88
Yes position
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $220.04
- Potential payout
- $656.85
- Potential profit
- $436.81
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $42.89
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $612
- Potential profit
- $612
- User PnL
- -$27.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17K
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13K
Lakers position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 150k?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $916.28
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $654.13
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $386.98
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.28
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289
Yes position
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142
Yes position
Will Trump endorse Andy Barr for KY-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.17
Yes position
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.33
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.64
No position
Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.14
No position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.49
Over 5.5 position
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.23
No position
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.21
No position
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.4
No position
Will Nottingham Forest qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.87
No position
Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
No position
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
Will no one dissent the April Fed decision?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Will gas hit (Low) $3.50 by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 88% 19 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 87.6% 68.75 shares
- Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.5% 500 shares
- Will Trump deport 300-400k people?No 83.5% 100 shares
- Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 6.1% 121 shares
- Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?No 79% 110.99 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 85.5% 500 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Yes 1.3% 500 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 85.6% 503 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?No 14.8% 104 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?No 14.9% 99 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?No 6.1% 131 shares