Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $565.33
- Potential payout
- $62.81K
- Potential profit
- $62.25K
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- $405.28
Polymarket Trader
ToTheWindow
0xdf903ee52261f475ee5a02f9189acdb7cdba41f0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.44K
- Realized PnL
- $31.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $19.54
- Potential payout
- $39.09K
- Potential profit
- $39.07K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$34.36
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $640.45
- Potential payout
- $21.35K
- Potential profit
- $20.71K
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- $601.55
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $15.77
- Potential payout
- $15.77K
- Potential profit
- $15.76K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$27.93
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.69
- Potential payout
- $13.38K
- Potential profit
- $13.37K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.3
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.32
- Potential payout
- $12.64K
- Potential profit
- $12.63K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.32
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.28K
- Potential profit
- $12.28K
- User PnL
- -$712.15
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $6.01
- Potential payout
- $12.02K
- Potential profit
- $12.01K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.03
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $70.73
- Potential payout
- $11.79K
- Potential profit
- $11.72K
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$48.42
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $120.44
- Potential payout
- $8.92K
- Potential profit
- $8.8K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $63.1
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $8.78K
- Potential profit
- $8.77K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.79
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $218.98
- Potential payout
- $6.19K
- Potential profit
- $5.97K
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$557.09
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.03
- Potential payout
- $6.07K
- Potential profit
- $6.07K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.03
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.76K
- Potential profit
- $5.76K
- User PnL
- -$721.09
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $4.74K
- Potential payout
- $5.54K
- Potential profit
- $803.04
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $409.63
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.72K
- Potential profit
- $4.72K
- User PnL
- -$137.49
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $3.9K
- Potential profit
- $3.9K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.14
Yes position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57K
- Potential profit
- $3.57K
- User PnL
- -$180.09
No position
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $2.79K
- User PnL
- -$282.9
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $6.54
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.86K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$12.46
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $19.64
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$5.36
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$97.7
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- User PnL
- -$143.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.9%
- Multiplier
- 2.23x
- User PnL
- $11.05K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- $3.33K
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- $2.06K
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85K
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
Yes position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
No position
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $953.42
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $872.25
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $800.97
No position
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $760.94
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $631.53
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $544.68
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $503.2
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500.4
Yes position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $479.57
Yes position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378.15
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $377.01
No position
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 19, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $359.24
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $279.66
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.82
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.18
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $174.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?Yes 14.5% 287.02 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 77% 279.22 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 78% 173.08 shares
- Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?No 88.2% 228.31 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 42% 7,356.14 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 85.1% 109.2 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 87% 126.54 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 84.9% 11,259.61 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 78.4% 166.13 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 76.3% 229.33 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 9.3% 539.12 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Yes 1.1% 909.09 shares