Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $42.46
- Potential payout
- $45.65
- Potential profit
- $3.2
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.46
Polymarket Trader
Persephonella
0xdf93f4856c5e72ad29ba5e65ea6b43ac36cf15db
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $42.46
- Realized PnL
- $28.33
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Ducks position
Ducks vs. Oilers
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.9
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 92% 45.65 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 83% 48.19 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in May 2026?No 98.9% 38.42 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?No 97.7% 38.93 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?No 97.6% 38.93 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 93.3% 22.03 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 87% 24.71 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 95.3% 22.04 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 89% 24.72 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?No 99.6% 22 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?Yes 99.1% 21.19 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?No 99% 22 shares