Polymarket Trader

0xf243

0xdf974b8db371482e34ff44b0fbfce11a0abf4653

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.37K
Realized PnL: $16.7K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $3.9K
Potential payout: $9.4K
Potential profit: $5.5K
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$799

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $5.5K
Potential payout: $9.4K
Potential profit: $3.9K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $799

Yes position

Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be above 2%?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $2.55K
Potential profit: $2.55K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$210.61

Yes position

Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1.5% and 2%?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$127.88

Yes position

Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $5.9
Potential payout: $621.08
Potential profit: $615.18
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $10.78
Potential payout: $440
Potential profit: $429.22
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.6B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $168.6
Potential payout: $240.86
Potential profit: $72.26
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $44.44

No position

Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $229.62
Potential payout: $230.66
Potential profit: $1.04
User PnL: $7.08

Yes position

Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.1B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $213.79
Potential payout: $226.35
Potential profit: $12.56
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $8.86

Yes position

Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $27.5
Potential payout: $107.86
Potential profit: $80.36
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $4.85

Yes position

Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $92.51
Potential payout: $93.3
Potential profit: $0.79
User PnL: $3.72

Yes position

Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between -1.5% and 0%?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $25.1
Potential payout: $88.1
Potential profit: $63
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $19.21

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $82.22
Potential payout: $85.82
Potential profit: $3.6
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $13.13

No position

Will Kroger (KR) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $53.85
Potential payout: $54.12
Potential profit: $0.27
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between -3% and -1.5%?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $8.64
Potential payout: $42.14
Potential profit: $33.5
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $6.95

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $2.51
Potential payout: $41.86
Potential profit: $39.35
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$15.49

Yes position

Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.35B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 88.4%
Current value: $31.51
Potential payout: $35.64
Potential profit: $4.13
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $4.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.98K

Yes position

Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be above 3%?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45K

No position

Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.06K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 76°F or higher on July 21?

Ends Jul 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

No position

Will Bank First (BFC) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $714.49

Yes position

Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $571.48

Yes position

Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 5%?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $515.52

Yes position

Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $483.44

Virtus.pro position

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $473.35

No position

Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $411.25

Yes position

Will Home Depot Q1 comparable sales growth be between 0.5% and 1%?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $390.33

Yes position

Will Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $378.94

No position

Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.45

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $297.5

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $279.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $266.76

No position

Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.05

No position

Will KKR & Co (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243

No position

Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.57

No position

Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.5B?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.58

No position

Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $207.44

No position

Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $2.0B in Q3?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?

No 98% 50 shares
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?

Yes 97% 34 shares
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?

Yes 92% 21.77 shares
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?

No 97% 22 shares
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?

No 97% 72 shares
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?

Yes 95.3% 37.53 shares
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?

No 95% 86.66 shares
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1.5% and 2%?

Yes 1% 60.32 shares
Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?

Yes 21% 107.86 shares
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1.5% and 2%?

Yes 7.9% 146.88 shares
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.6B?

Yes 73.2% 150 shares
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $1.9B?

Yes 93.9% 10 shares