Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $9K
- User PnL
- -$9
Polymarket Trader
Shella777
0xdf9ab3829afb4b05b24feeac2fa6d662a1e77449
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.55
- Realized PnL
- $199.85
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.65
- Potential profit
- $176.65
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.96
- Potential profit
- $113.96
- User PnL
- -$18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.34
- Potential profit
- $66.34
- User PnL
- -$3.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.17
- Potential profit
- $43.17
- User PnL
- -$12.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.93
- Potential profit
- $36.93
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.82
- Potential profit
- $35.82
- User PnL
- -$9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.57
- Potential profit
- $30.57
- User PnL
- -$4.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.27
- Potential profit
- $30.27
- User PnL
- -$3.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.88
- Potential profit
- $20.88
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.88
- Potential profit
- $17.88
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.36
- Potential profit
- $17.36
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.05
- Potential profit
- $17.05
- User PnL
- -$2.98
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $10.08
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $6.86
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.41
- Potential profit
- $16.41
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.62
- Potential profit
- $11.62
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $10.78
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.33
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.98
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.79
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.62
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.26
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.71
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.08
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.97
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.24
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Yes position
Will Trump say "Armada" this week? (February 8)
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETUp 19% 5.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETUp 12% 8.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETUp 12% 8.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETUp 12% 8.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETUp 15% 6.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETDown 31% 3.23 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETUp 23% 4.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETUp 23% 4.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETDown 30% 3.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETUp 33% 3.03 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETUp 33% 3.03 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETUp 32% 3.13 shares