Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $14.16
- Potential payout
- $67.57
- Potential profit
- $53.41
- Multiplier
- 4.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Polymarket Trader
HhAa21
0xdf9acae45ada91837ba53aa33b00890e0de36209
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $110.28
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $31.43
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $4.29
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Current value
- $25.94
- Potential payout
- $29.03
- Potential profit
- $3.09
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $5.94
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $10.94
- Potential payout
- $15.63
- Potential profit
- $4.69
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $9.83
- Potential payout
- $11.49
- Potential profit
- $1.67
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $9.81
- Potential payout
- $10.72
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.81
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $4.27
- Potential payout
- $6.94
- Potential profit
- $2.67
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.7%
- Current value
- $3.91
- Potential payout
- $4.37
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 91.6% 4.37 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 84% 35.71 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No 64% 15.63 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 87% 11.49 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes 72% 6.94 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 74% 4.05 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 95% 7.37 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 68% 22.06 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 22.2% 67.57 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?No 68.9% 29.03 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 75% 6.67 shares