Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $6.05
- Potential payout
- $11.41
- Potential profit
- $5.36
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Polymarket Trader
0xdfb2...dc99
0xdfb22b07cdc1a16ef3d4a3814e7104374e77dc99
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $63.94
- Realized PnL
- $88.69
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $5.88
- Potential payout
- $11.2
- Potential profit
- $5.32
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $6.66
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
No position
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $5.8
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $4.45
- Potential payout
- $9.18
- Potential profit
- $4.73
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $3.91
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $4.23
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
No position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $6.28
- Potential payout
- $8.1
- Potential profit
- $1.82
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $3.36
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.64
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.36
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.68
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.3%
- Current value
- $6.82
- Potential payout
- $7.56
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.49
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $7.01
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.09
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $1.43
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $6.08
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.08
- Potential payout
- $7.08
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $7.04
- Potential profit
- $2.99
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $2.08
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $3.47
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.19
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.89
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.72
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.68
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.65
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
Yes position
Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72
No position
Will PLC win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
Y
Yes position
Will Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
No position
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Historic" during the next White House Press Briefing?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 68.2% 7.08 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 50% 9.18 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 29% 7 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No 38.3% 9.16 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 77.4% 7.56 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 29% 8 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 44% 3 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 79% 7.59 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.7% 2.01 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No 41% 8 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No 56% 11.2 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 79% 7.51 shares