Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.7%
- Multiplier
- 8.55x
- User PnL
- $6.63
Polymarket Trader
davethetexan
0xdfc0632bfc65951195ff75dcf481a3ce04b8c4f9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $18.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Viktoria Plzen position
Viktoria Plzen vs. Ferencvaros
Ends Feb 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.7%
- Multiplier
- 8.55x
- User PnL
- $6.63
Viktoria Plzen position
Viktoria Plzen vs. Ferencvaros
Ends Feb 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 73% 3 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 82% 43 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 81% 43 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 25% 5 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 93% 22 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No 91% 45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 39% 15 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 95.4% 37 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 17.3% 17 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 36% 19.94 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 6.1% 34 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 90% 4 shares