Polymarket Trader

xinyan23

0xdfc17a3f0aa61890b1884a7b40cd786676f30bd1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.12
Realized PnL: $0.73
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $464.4
Potential profit: $464.17
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.77

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $301.02
Potential profit: $301.02
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $128
Potential profit: $127.93
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.79
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $12.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Will there be at least 2500 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $1.76
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

City Protocol FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $2.18
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $9.59
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.45
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.69

Team Heretics Academy position

Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.21
Potential profit: $4.21
User PnL: -$1.98

No position

Will England win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 64.9%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $3.09
Potential profit: $1.09
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $1.94
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $0.5
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $0.48
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

APIA Leichhardt FC vs. Peninsula Power FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 15?

Yes 0.4% 464.4 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 16?

Yes 14% 14.29 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 15?

Yes 1.6% 128 shares
Will there be at least 2500 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?

No 17% 11.76 shares
Will there be at least 5000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?

No 82% 2.44 shares
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?

No 86% 2.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?

No 42% 4.76 shares
City Protocol FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 17% 11.76 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-15?

No 64.7% 3.09 shares
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)

Team Heretics Academy 47% 4.21 shares
APIA Leichhardt FC vs. Peninsula Power FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Under 59% 1.78 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 13?

No 0.1% 301.02 shares