Polymarket Trader

lvying

0xdfc3c9ece2f4232df8784659b4dfde60a4877d0a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $485.12
Realized PnL: $1.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $97.99
Potential payout: $399.98
Potential profit: $301.98
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 9.3%
Current value: $36.17
Potential payout: $390.98
Potential profit: $354.81
Multiplier: 10.81x
User PnL: -$41.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $79.95
Potential payout: $390
Potential profit: $310.05
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $13.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $271.01
Potential payout: $390
Potential profit: $118.99
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $107.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $358
Potential profit: $358
User PnL: -$171.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$126.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$122.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$87.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $349.99
Potential profit: $349.99
User PnL: -$161

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260.04
Potential profit: $260.04
User PnL: -$63.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$27.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.01
Potential profit: $164.01
User PnL: -$116.35

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129
Potential profit: $129
User PnL: -$109.65

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129
Potential profit: $129
User PnL: -$109.65

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129
Potential profit: $129
User PnL: -$109.65

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129
Potential profit: $129
User PnL: -$109.65

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129
Potential profit: $129
User PnL: -$109.65

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.01
Potential profit: $128.01
User PnL: -$108.81

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128
Potential profit: $128
User PnL: -$108.8

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128
Potential profit: $128
User PnL: -$108.8

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128
Potential profit: $128
User PnL: -$108.8

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.46
Potential profit: $127.46
User PnL: -$107.99

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.14
Potential profit: $118.14
User PnL: -$98.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $51.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.36

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.78

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.81

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.39

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.9

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.65

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.71

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.3

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.93

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.91

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.76

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.64

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.42

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 10.2% 43.98 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 10% 120 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 10.2% 130 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 10.3% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 10.3% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 10.3% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 10.4% 120 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 10.5% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 10.2% 340 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 9.6% 153.98 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 22% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 22% 60 shares