Polymarket Trader

0xDFCA4EE98374F62A1D4985aC9272260e09BA645a-1775178905321

0xdfca4ee98374f62a1d4985ac9272260e09ba645a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $136.65
Realized PnL: $3.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.34K
Potential profit: $46.34K
User PnL: -$159.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.51K
Potential profit: $44.51K
User PnL: -$65.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.78K
Potential profit: $14.78K
User PnL: -$80.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.21K
Potential profit: $4.21K
User PnL: -$77.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.08K
Potential profit: $4.08K
User PnL: -$78.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.68K
Potential profit: $3.68K
User PnL: -$58.92

Yes position

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $136.65
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.87K
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$45.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.62K
Potential profit: $2.62K
User PnL: -$2.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $2.04K
User PnL: -$161.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $1.91K
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

James Comey mugshot released by May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$9.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.45K
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.42K
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$263.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: -$1.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will White House post 200+ posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $443.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $357.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334.34

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $238.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.66

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $93.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $55.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026?

Yes 29% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026?

Yes 29% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 7% 17 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 26% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 7% 19 shares
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in June 2026?

Yes 28% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 7% 17 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 26% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 4% 22.69 shares
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 6.8% 16 shares
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 6.8% 16 shares
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in July 2026?

Yes 4.1% 5 shares