Polymarket Trader

jan - 6514

0xdfe7e71fc224d9521f1f231f3c10504ac3e37c84

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.11
Realized PnL: $1.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $10.71
Potential payout: $112.73
Potential profit: $102.02
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$14.29

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $3.38
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $55.44
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$6.62

Yes position

Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $53.06
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.19
Potential profit: $53.19
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on October 8?

Ends Oct 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.08
Potential profit: $29.08
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.41
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$1.41

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.39
Potential profit: $17.39
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.27
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$4.77

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $1.73
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $10.18
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$8.27

Yes position

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $9.65
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$3.02

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.58
Potential profit: $7.58
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?

Ends Jan 8, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $514.29

Yes position

Will Nic Carter vs. David Hoffman have no winner?

Ends May 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205

No position

Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term?

Ends Feb 16, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.24

Hoffman position

Hoffman vs. Warwick

Ends Oct 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.64

Yes position

Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier?

Ends Nov 24, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.25

Yes position

Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 10 AM ET on August 5, 2021?

Ends Aug 5, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.75

Yes position

Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on March 1, 2022?

Ends Mar 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.82

No position

Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 1, 2022?

Ends Mar 1, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 576439.11x
User PnL: $57.53

No position

Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022?

Ends Sep 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.58

Yes position

Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from April to May 2022?

Ends Jun 10, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.62

Yes position

Ethereum ETF approved in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.65

Yes position

Will another US bank fail in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.14

Yes position

Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022?

Ends Jan 8, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.21

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5000 by the end of 2021?

Ends Dec 31, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.84

No position

Will Optimism have a token by May 1st, 2022?

Ends May 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.74

No position

Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by May 1, 2022?

Ends May 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.79

No position

Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,000 on January 12, 12pm ET?

Ends Jan 12, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.41

Yes position

Will Trump impose a blanket tariff of 20-30% on the EU by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.95

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.47

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $110k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.06

Yes position

Will 2024 have the hottest March on record?

Ends May 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

No position

Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th?

Ends Jan 28, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.64

No position

Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by July 1, 2022?

Ends Jul 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.25

Bitcoin position

Which cryptocurrency will perform better in December 2021: Bitcoin or Ethereum?

Ends Jan 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?

Yes 66% 7.58 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 12% 25 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 81% 12.35 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 6.9% 29.08 shares
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 1.1% 439.78 shares
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 84% 23.81 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?

Yes 11% 18.18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?

Up 15.6% 19.23 shares
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?

Yes 43% 11.63 shares
Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?

No 89% 5.62 shares
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?

Yes 40% 12.5 shares
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Yes 9.4% 53.19 shares