Yes position
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $297.45
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$69.45
Polymarket Trader
JoshuaSmith3917
0xdfec8d02da40c9414765b308d8f2c434e56f09a7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $439.41
- Realized PnL
- $2.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $167.5
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $82.5
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $106.63
- Potential payout
- $184
- Potential profit
- $77.37
- Multiplier
- 1.73x
- User PnL
- -$44.25
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $40.92
- Potential payout
- $88
- Potential profit
- $47.08
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $80
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $18.4
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79
- Potential profit
- $79
- User PnL
- -$1.11
No position
Will the Oklahoma Sooners be the #8 seed in the 2025-2026 College Football Playoff?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79
- Potential profit
- $79
- User PnL
- -$17.16
Yes position
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $50.93
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$9.44
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$17.2
No position
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $31.9
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Gold Mansacks win the Orderly trading competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $32
- User PnL
- -$6.4
No position
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $27
- User PnL
- -$2.7
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.99
- Potential profit
- $24.99
- User PnL
- -$2.52
Yes position
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $6.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13.9
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
No position
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.9
- Potential profit
- $19.9
- User PnL
- -$12.68
No position
Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $9
- User PnL
- -$5.99
Yes position
Will Tramell Tillman (Severance) win Best Supporting Actor – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Yes position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Current value
- $2.66
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Ranger FDV above $60M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $1.01
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 12.99x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $410.99
Yes position
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.23
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $160.38
No position
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.85
No position
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.8
Yes position
Ukraine strike in Russia on 26 November 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.33
No position
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $97.52
Yes position
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.52
Yes position
Over 12 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $89.47
Yes position
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.92
Y
Yes position
Will Pete Carroll be fired by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.62
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.73x
- User PnL
- $71.1
No position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.47
Yes position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.38
No position
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.19
No position
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $46.2
Yes position
Brex IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $41.21
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.6
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.39
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.36
No position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.62
Yes position
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.45
No position
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.03
Yes position
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?No 81% 140 shares
- Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 19% 330 shares
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 91.4% 36 shares
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 91.4% 42 shares
- Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No 74% 151 shares
- Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No 74% 239 shares
- Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No 74% 329 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?No 54% 39 shares
- Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?No 70% 220 shares
- Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?No 70% 253 shares
- Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?No 74% 60 shares
- Will the US strike Iran next?No 79% 307 shares