Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $156.49
- Potential payout
- $355.65
- Potential profit
- $199.16
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $2.96
Polymarket Trader
test223455w2
0xdff07b8665a6567c233ebb914136d38b90785865
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $676
- Realized PnL
- $897.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $291.69
- Potential profit
- $291.54
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$61.32
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $14.42
- Potential payout
- $223.54
- Potential profit
- $209.12
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $5.93
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $136.93
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Current value
- $27.55
- Potential payout
- $140.18
- Potential profit
- $112.64
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $34.99
- Potential payout
- $89.73
- Potential profit
- $54.73
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$3.96
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $8.3
- Potential payout
- $74.47
- Potential profit
- $66.17
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $45.19
- Potential payout
- $72.89
- Potential profit
- $27.7
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $54.5
- Potential payout
- $72.19
- Potential profit
- $17.69
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $48.08
- Potential payout
- $63.68
- Potential profit
- $15.6
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $4.19
Yes position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $25.46
- Potential payout
- $61.34
- Potential profit
- $35.89
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$11.8
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $45.83
- Potential payout
- $60.7
- Potential profit
- $14.87
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $3.59
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 39.4%
- Current value
- $23.85
- Potential payout
- $60.61
- Potential profit
- $36.76
- Multiplier
- 2.54x
- User PnL
- -$4.2
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $55.23
- Potential payout
- $56.05
- Potential profit
- $0.81
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $27.21
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $56.05
- Potential profit
- $55.23
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$27.21
Yes position
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $20.29
- Potential payout
- $48.31
- Potential profit
- $28.02
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$11.11
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $19.99
- Potential payout
- $44.93
- Potential profit
- $24.93
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $2.02
Y
Yes position
Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 5–10%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $35.07
- Potential profit
- $33.49
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$11.72
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 60.7%
- Current value
- $20.29
- Potential payout
- $33.45
- Potential profit
- $13.16
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $3.56
Yes position
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.75
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$14.75
No position
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $29.75
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- $14.75
No position
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $29.75
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- $14.75
Yes position
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.75
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$14.75
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $7.07
- Potential payout
- $29.44
- Potential profit
- $22.38
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.25
No position
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.5
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.65
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.82
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.38
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.62
Cristina Bucsa position
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Madison Keys vs Cristina Bucsa
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $37.11
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.53
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.34
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.29
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.76
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.63
No position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.12
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.69
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $25.7
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.04
Movistar KOI position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.47
LGD Gaming position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.32
Fluxo W7M position
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 2 Winner
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.98
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.12
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.58
No position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.52
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.7
No position
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 3?No 69% 4.55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 3?No 71% 4.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 104-105°F on July 3?No 64% 7.03 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.5% 46.62 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.5% 50.15 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.5% 15.38 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.5% 15.38 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.5% 15.38 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.5% 15.38 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.5% 15.38 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.5% 15.38 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.5% 15.38 shares