Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $353.02
- Potential payout
- $4.15K
- Potential profit
- $3.8K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$293.97
Polymarket Trader
0xdFfB4Eb494415B0777abbf101Bc60121A0b88Ab6-1759156298759
0xdffb4eb494415b0777abbf101bc60121a0b88ab6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $353.02
- Realized PnL
- $187.37
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.07
- Potential profit
- $105.07
- User PnL
- -$26.25
Yes position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerlandâs June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.39
- Potential profit
- $16.39
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.1
- Potential profit
- $11.1
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.93
- Potential profit
- $1.93
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Logan Paulâs PSA 10 PokĂ©mon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.74
Yes position
Will Logan Paulâs PSA 10 PokĂ©mon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.59
Yes position
Will Logan Paulâs PSA 10 PokĂ©mon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.68
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.09
No position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.1m?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.51
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.19
No position
Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerlandâs 8 March 2026 popular vote?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.07
No position
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerlandâs 8 March 2026 popular vote?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.77
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.4m?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will Logan Paulâs PSA 10 PokĂ©mon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerlandâs 8 March 2026 popular vote?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.28
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$8.03
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$11.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerlandâs June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 39% 38.46 shares
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes 91% 78.12 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 17% 329.41 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No 82% 12.2 shares
- Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?No 46% 116.9 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 18% 105.56 shares
- Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerlandâs 8 March 2026 popular vote?No 52.5% 36.18 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 18% 488.89 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 15.9% 315.19 shares
- Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?Yes 61% 16.39 shares
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes 64% 78.13 shares
- Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerlandâs 8 March 2026 popular vote?Yes 96.6% 101.16 shares