Yes position
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $60.45
- Potential payout
- $8.06K
- Potential profit
- $8K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $1.56
Polymarket Trader
whumpa
0xe000e1dd06d3d17dc943dc9215a2e166efd5cbb1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.61K
- Realized PnL
- $7.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $247.26
- Potential payout
- $4.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.05K
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$127.24
Yes position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $254.74
- Potential payout
- $3.92K
- Potential profit
- $3.66K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
Yes position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $160.2
- Potential payout
- $2.84K
- Potential profit
- $2.68K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$519.08
Yes position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $410.55
- Potential payout
- $2.49K
- Potential profit
- $2.08K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.3K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- User PnL
- -$391.01
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $170.17
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$156.27
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $665.11
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$492.36
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $348.95
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- -$638.53
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- User PnL
- -$31.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $405.27
- Potential payout
- $871.55
- Potential profit
- $466.28
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$177.3
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $138.26
- Potential payout
- $864.12
- Potential profit
- $725.86
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$278.08
Yes position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $39.61
- Potential payout
- $842.83
- Potential profit
- $803.22
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- -$111.53
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $143.56
- Potential payout
- $776
- Potential profit
- $632.44
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $28.38
Yes position
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $73.64
- Potential payout
- $775.19
- Potential profit
- $701.55
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$98.68
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $758.06
- Potential profit
- $758.06
- User PnL
- -$134.87
Yes position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $156.33
- Potential payout
- $710.61
- Potential profit
- $554.27
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$6.66
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $610.79
- Potential profit
- $610.79
- User PnL
- -$47.58
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.1%
- Current value
- $139.18
- Potential payout
- $534.27
- Potential profit
- $395.09
- Multiplier
- 3.84x
- User PnL
- -$145.69
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $172.46
- Potential payout
- $472.5
- Potential profit
- $300.04
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $391.47
- Potential profit
- $391.47
- User PnL
- -$69.69
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $22.16
- Potential payout
- $360.25
- Potential profit
- $338.09
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$108.32
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $5.27
- Potential payout
- $340.01
- Potential profit
- $334.74
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$48.43
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $327.2
- Potential profit
- $327.2
- User PnL
- -$71.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $720.84
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $700.82
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $506.99
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $491.86
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $471.85
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $374.21
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $340.7
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.23
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $284.86
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $243.77
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.57
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.61
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.45x
- User PnL
- $210.61
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.45
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.07
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.24
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.31
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $168.18
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.11
Yes position
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.23
Yes position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.73
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $100.07
Yes position
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 20% 30 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 20% 40 shares
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes 24% 80.39 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 35% 60 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 28% 388.99 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 28% 194.5 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 35% 10 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 35% 10 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 37% 50 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 37% 40 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 28% 194.5 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 52% 59.59 shares