Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $234.4
- Potential profit
- $234.4
- User PnL
- -$25
Polymarket Trader
Mistgrove
0xe002421b327fd2653911a0a6499cefb281d13c5a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.8
- Realized PnL
- $26.86
- Win rate
- 55.6%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.36
- Potential profit
- $113.36
- User PnL
- -$38.06
Magic position
Magic vs. Celtics
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.71
- Potential profit
- $24.71
- User PnL
- -$15.07
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $14.8
- Potential payout
- $15.64
- Potential profit
- $0.84
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Knicks position
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.7
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.57
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.15
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$5.93
No position
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$14.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 95.9% 15.64 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 88.1% 22.7 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETUp 10.7% 234.4 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown 33.4% 74.96 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown 34% 38.4 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 78% 156.96 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 79% 156.96 shares
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks 54% 103.7 shares
- US strike on Mexico by December 31?No 80% 98.83 shares
- US strike on Mexico by December 31?No 86% 98.84 shares
- Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?No 80.9% 106.15 shares
- Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?No 94.2% 106.16 shares