Polymarket Trader

M5an

0xe01adfd9bb36091c01cc73c6d9c6ccddae7acd84

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $104.79
Realized PnL: -$35
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $13.75
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.49K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $308.33
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $171.03
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$3.62

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $57.67
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $9.97
Potential payout: $64.1
Potential profit: $54.13
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $3.44
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $59.06
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$6.56

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $7.94
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $50.88
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$2.06

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $11.32
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $41.32
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $1.32

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $23
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $17
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Yes 6% 333.33 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 15.6% 64.1 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Yes 19% 52.63 shares
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?

Yes 15% 66.67 shares
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?

Yes 25% 40 shares
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Yes 2.9% 172.41 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?

No 24% 41.67 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

No 24% 41.67 shares
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 2,500 shares
Knicks vs. Spurs

Knicks 36% 27.78 shares