Polymarket Trader

VainceV

0xe01b9ccec2aa35c94839257f5dd7c1836485fa88

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $918.91
Realized PnL: $775.27
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.2%
Current value: $50.12
Potential payout: $261.05
Potential profit: $210.93
Multiplier: 5.21x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will England be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $32.63
Potential payout: $210.53
Potential profit: $177.89
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$7.37

Yes position

Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $83
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $117
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $33

Yes position

Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 34.4%
Current value: $52.26
Potential payout: $151.75
Potential profit: $99.49
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $2.26

Yes position

Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $55.28
Potential payout: $136.49
Potential profit: $81.21
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $5.28

Yes position

Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $49.36
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $78.85
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $30.56
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $80.56
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41.3%
Current value: $42.31
Potential payout: $102.56
Potential profit: $60.25
Multiplier: 2.42x
User PnL: -$7.69

No position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $30.19
Potential payout: $92.9
Potential profit: $62.71
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 57.6%
Current value: $49.67
Potential payout: $86.21
Potential profit: $36.53
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.9%
Current value: $49.41
Potential payout: $83.89
Potential profit: $34.48
Multiplier: 1.70x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $37.72
Potential payout: $77.78
Potential profit: $40.06
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $2.72

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $61.73
Potential payout: $75.76
Potential profit: $14.02
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $11.73

No position

Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $48.86
Potential payout: $75.76
Potential profit: $26.89
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$1.14

No position

Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $48.86
Potential payout: $75.76
Potential profit: $26.89
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.4%
Current value: $30.11
Potential payout: $66.31
Potential profit: $36.21
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $5.11

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 50.1%
Current value: $28.37
Potential payout: $56.6
Potential profit: $28.23
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: -$1.63

No position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $31.09
Potential payout: $56.02
Potential profit: $24.93
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $29.18
Potential payout: $54.55
Potential profit: $25.36
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.82

San Francisco Giants position

Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $21.06
Potential payout: $46.3
Potential profit: $25.23
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$3.94

Yes position

Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $29.77
Potential payout: $46.15
Potential profit: $16.38
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.23

Karolina Muchova position

Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.43
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$24.98

Yes position

Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $27.33
Potential payout: $42.37
Potential profit: $15.04
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $2.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.16

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.78

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.5

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.91

Yes position

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.97

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.82

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.65

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.62

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.08

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.48

Yes position

Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.77

Yes position

Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.17

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.69

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.45

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.91

Yes position

Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.57

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.44

Yes position

Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.22

Yes position

Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.18

Yes position

Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Yes 65% 46.15 shares
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.2% 261.05 shares
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova

Karolina Muchova 55% 45.45 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Yes 54% 46.3 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

No 75.8% 36.96 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

No 82.4% 36.41 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 37.7% 66.31 shares
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants 60% 50 shares
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

No 55% 54.55 shares
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

No 53.5% 56.02 shares
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 45% 77.78 shares
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

No 32.3% 92.9 shares