No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $45.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $4.75
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3.15
Polymarket Trader
brexd
0xe02acfb77dd83426ed29528e4e134222b20528ec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $230.78
- Realized PnL
- $57.22
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $29.19
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $1.81
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $21.15
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $8.85
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Yes position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $1.67
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $22.33
- Multiplier
- 14.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $21.27
- Potential payout
- $23.5
- Potential profit
- $2.23
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $19.59
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $18.73
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.27
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $12.9
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $10.74
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $10.44
- Potential payout
- $10.8
- Potential profit
- $0.36
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $9.97
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $9.96
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.15
No position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Chirayu Rana sued?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
No position
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will "Hillary" or "Clinton" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 13)
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Justin Bieber drop out as a Coachella 2026 Headliner?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
X Money released by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Seattle have more than 5 inches of precipitation in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.5 on April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes 76% 30 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 86% 20 shares
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?No 94% 30 shares
- Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by June 30, 2026?Yes 91% 9.82 shares
- Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by June 30, 2026?Yes 92% 11.66 shares
- Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by December 31, 2026?Yes 98% 9.96 shares
- Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by June 30, 2026?Yes 93% 25 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes 0.2% 414.44 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes 0.3% 35.56 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes 39% 300 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes 39% 150 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes 90% 7 shares