Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $700.4K
- Potential profit
- $700.4K
- User PnL
- -$14.7K
Polymarket Trader
CDAP1
0xe033e9d4a0e8b30c417f3f7abcb029bc695940a5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.19K
- Realized PnL
- $27.76K
- Win rate
- 72.2%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $223.11K
- Potential profit
- $223.11K
- User PnL
- -$6.58K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $200K
- User PnL
- -$1.6K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.99K
- Potential profit
- $89.99K
- User PnL
- -$1.89K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.17K
- Potential profit
- $30.17K
- User PnL
- -$477.52
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $3.51K
- Potential payout
- $21.82K
- Potential profit
- $18.31K
- Multiplier
- 6.21x
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $5.21K
- Potential payout
- $14.88K
- Potential profit
- $9.67K
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $398.67
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $1.34K
- Potential payout
- $13.04K
- Potential profit
- $11.7K
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- $628.09
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.8K
- Potential profit
- $6.8K
- User PnL
- -$58.38
Yes position
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $10.77
- Potential payout
- $4.31K
- Potential profit
- $4.3K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$116.78
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.9%
- Current value
- $1.32K
- Potential payout
- $3.78K
- Potential profit
- $2.46K
- Multiplier
- 2.87x
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- User PnL
- -$331.39
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- User PnL
- -$166.49
Yes position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- User PnL
- -$50.82
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $76.55
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $635.8
Yes position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $74.27
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$198.29
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $323.84
- Potential payout
- $400.05
- Potential profit
- $76.21
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $262.91
No position
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $1.99
- Potential payout
- $173.41
- Potential profit
- $171.41
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$107.2
Yes position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.6%
- Current value
- $45.23
- Potential payout
- $164.19
- Potential profit
- $118.96
- Multiplier
- 3.63x
- User PnL
- $33.74
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124
- Potential profit
- $124
- User PnL
- -$7.44
No position
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92
- Potential profit
- $92
- User PnL
- -$14.72
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $25.84
- Potential payout
- $49.68
- Potential profit
- $23.85
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $18.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.4K
No position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87K
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $2.39K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
No position
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $660
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $639.24
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $448.82
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.61
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- $52.81
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $8.14
Yes position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.32
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$44.61
No position
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$150.6
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.99K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.07K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 37% 3,979.83 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 36% 1,299.4 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 34.9% 519.94 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 32% 161.89 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 30% 20 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 33% 3,750.37 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 20.7% 1,200 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 20.6% 1,000 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 20.4% 811.84 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 19.5% 146.7 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 19.5% 346.7 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 29% 666 shares