Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $23.72
- Potential payout
- $948.75
- Potential profit
- $925.03
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- $20.72
Polymarket Trader
vpxsaf
0xe0374f376a4937e058e22b4fce5326367603836f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $160.95
- Realized PnL
- $93.14
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $21.76
- Potential payout
- $395.71
- Potential profit
- $373.95
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$5.76
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $16.33
- Potential payout
- $192.15
- Potential profit
- $175.82
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$17.67
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $99.1
- Potential payout
- $106.16
- Potential profit
- $7.06
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $63.67
- Potential profit
- $63.63
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$15.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.29
- Potential profit
- $4.29
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.29
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $5.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.74
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88
Up position
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 94.2% 106.16 shares
- Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes 5.8% 22.98 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 50% 19.8 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 76% 139.78 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 97.8% 84.21 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 93% 139.78 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No 99.4% 106.38 shares
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 94% 5.18 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 86.5% 5.27 shares
- Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 3.1% 316.25 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 95% 84.21 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 15% 33.33 shares