Polymarket Trader

markmattersoon

0xe042c54198b1318d043c93cdd303f2ecdd65f206

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $436.15
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $1.65K
User PnL: -$100

No position

Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $744
Potential profit: $744
User PnL: -$281.07

Yes position

Will France strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $671.93
Potential profit: $671.93
User PnL: -$150

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $346.79
Potential profit: $346.79
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$54

Yes position

Will Trump say "Knicks" during Tele-Rally?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $234.6
Potential profit: $234.6
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

NATO Article 5 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.9
Potential profit: $199.9
User PnL: -$20.97

Yes position

Will Russia join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $170
User PnL: -$91.9

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$16.2

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.47
Potential profit: $76.47
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Trump say "Game" during Tele-Rally?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $56
User PnL: -$16.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.79
Potential profit: $34.79
User PnL: -$16.35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $352.86

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during Tele-Rally?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.4

No position

Will Trump say "Peace" 20+ times during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.85

Yes position

Will Trump say "Poll" 2+ times during Tele-Rally?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.38

No position

Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.29

Israel position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $4.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

No position

Will Powell say "Comment" during March press conference?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Restore Britain" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Conservative" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Powell say "War" during March press conference?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will "Stabilization" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.21

Yes position

Will "Engineering" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.6

No position

Will Powell say "Speculate" or "Speculation" during March press conference?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.64

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.25

No position

Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$5.13

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.45

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Up 47% 34.79 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Up 75% 13.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Up 1.2% 804.28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Up 4% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Up 14% 142.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Up 25% 199.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Down 21% 238.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Down 46% 108.7 shares
Will Trump say "Poll" 2+ times during Tele-Rally?

Yes 99.5% 44.6 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during Tele-Rally?

Yes 99.1% 180 shares
Will Trump say "Poll" 2+ times during Tele-Rally?

Yes 67.3% 44.61 shares
Will Trump say "Knicks" during Tele-Rally?

Yes 21.3% 234.6 shares