N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the FL-15 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $22.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $27.25
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $14.25
Polymarket Trader
0XE04A5813b7043564654A776c9189F3AE527d094f
0xe04a5813b7043564654a776c9189f3ae527d094f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.95
- Realized PnL
- $872.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the MD-04 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.98
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- $2.03
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the CT-04 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $2.17
- Potential payout
- $47.8
- Potential profit
- $45.63
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- $0.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $184.99
Yes position
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133
Yes position
Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.65
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.11
Yes position
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.38
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.61
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.58
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- $31.43
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $28.52
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.62
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.58
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $15.61
Yes position
Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 11?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.45
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $9.63
No position
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.27
Yes position
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.24
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in March 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Yes position
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 0.1% 90.65 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 0.1% 10,138.43 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?No 0.1% 130.28 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?No 0.1% 15,103.17 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat?Yes 93% 50 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?No 20% 50 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the NY-11 House seat?No 12% 0.56 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the NY-11 House seat?No 12% 7 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the CA-07 House seat?No 95.8% 45 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?Yes 15% 0.18 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the UT-01 House seat?No 5% 15 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?Yes 15% 2 shares