Polymarket Trader

cedriss

@cxdris

0xe0863d867475d41b95cd730053edc019d82c0450

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $363.35
Realized PnL: $11.06K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $4.79
Potential payout: $399
Potential profit: $394.21
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$1.02

Over position

Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 3.5 Corners

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $111.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $138.75
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Will Morocco finish second in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $62.9
Potential payout: $185
Potential profit: $122.1
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$14.8

No position

Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?

Ends Nov 13, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $92.35
Potential payout: $107.38
Potential profit: $15.03
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$3.22

No position

Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $83.42
Potential payout: $106.95
Potential profit: $23.53
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$11.76

Yes position

Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by June 30?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $55
Potential profit: $54.12
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$0.66

No position

Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be above 85%?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $7.73
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $7.28
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$3.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.58K

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 9.1%
Multiplier: 10.99x
User PnL: $912.34

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $667.9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $652.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $633.2

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $624.83

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $442.44

Yes position

Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $426.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $413.91

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $384.16

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: $352.71

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $324.42

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $264.37

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $251.48

Yes position

Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $244.17

Yes position

Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: $242.78

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21.2%
Multiplier: 4.73x
User PnL: $238.87

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Multiplier: 7.09x
User PnL: $234.64

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $233.26

No position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 11.1%
Multiplier: 9.01x
User PnL: $220

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 22.1%
Multiplier: 4.54x
User PnL: $200.72

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.61

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: $166.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?

No 98.4% 185 shares
Will Minnesota Twins win the 2026 AL Central title?

No 92.9% 30 shares
Will Minnesota Twins win the 2026 AL Central title?

No 92.8% 35.28 shares
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20% 185 shares
Will St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 NL Central title?

Yes 6% 35 shares
Will Erling Haaland score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 30% 100 shares
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?

No 61.1% 5 shares
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?

No 62% 100 shares
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?

No 72% 80.56 shares
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?

No 74% 30 shares
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?

No 75% 20 shares
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title?

No 73% 20 shares