No position
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $18.53
- Potential payout
- $50.07
- Potential profit
- $31.54
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Polymarket Trader
Tu-Papa
0xe096e78c7b7756b4120a57d20f004be6786104f3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.53
- Realized PnL
- -$19.75
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.68
Minnesota Lynx position
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 45%
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 53%
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
No position
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.14
No position
Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$12.01
No position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$33.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 36% 218 shares
- Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No 36% 75 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 45% 400 shares
- Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No 20% 105 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 58.4% 92 shares
- Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?No 32% 66 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 55% 59 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 42% 59 shares
- Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?No 44% 48 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 42% 53 shares
- Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?No 49% 5 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 57% 53 shares