daski

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $347.04
Potential payout: $373.77
Potential profit: $26.72
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $7.04

No position

Will Rafael Leao join Manchester United?

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $205.08
Potential payout: $268.08
Potential profit: $63
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$7.71

No position

Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?

Implied probability: 49.6%
Current value: $93.59
Potential payout: $188.87
Potential profit: $95.29
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $43.59

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 17.4%
Current value: $23.96
Potential payout: $137.36
Potential profit: $113.41
Multiplier: 5.73x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Casemiro join Inter Miami?

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $101.07
Potential payout: $105.12
Potential profit: $4.05
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will Dusan Vlahovic stay at Juventus?

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $50.54
Potential payout: $100.08
Potential profit: $49.54
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $37.53

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 38.9%
Current value: $32.29
Potential payout: $83.1
Potential profit: $50.82
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $2.29

Yes position

Will Jack Grealish join Everton?

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $46.33
Potential payout: $79.87
Potential profit: $33.55
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $3.12
Potential payout: $64.94
Potential profit: $61.82
Multiplier: 20.83x
User PnL: -$1.88

No position

Will Dusan Vlahovic join Al-Nassr?

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $26.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $23.75
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $27.56
Potential payout: $48.78
Potential profit: $21.22
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $7.56

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Jack Grealish stay at Manchester City?

Implied probability: 23.3%
Current value: $9.53
Potential payout: $40.9
Potential profit: $31.37
Multiplier: 4.29x
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will Yan Diomande join Liverpool?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $35.19
Potential payout: $38.04
Potential profit: $2.85
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Marcus Rashford join Aston Villa?

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $30.36
Potential payout: $36.14
Potential profit: $5.78
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will Yan Diomande join Paris Saint-Germain?

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $15.2
Potential payout: $34.54
Potential profit: $19.34
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $8.36

Yes position

Will Nico Schlotterbeck stay at Borussia Dortmund?

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $27.47
Potential payout: $33.71
Potential profit: $6.24
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$2.53

Yes position

Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $13.91
Potential payout: $33.51
Potential profit: $19.6
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $29.67
Potential payout: $32.97
Potential profit: $3.3
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.33

No position

Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?

Implied probability: 82.1%
Current value: $25.44
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $5.56
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $1.14

No position

Will Rafael Leao join Liverpool?

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $24.24
Potential payout: $30.11
Potential profit: $5.87
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$3.76

Yes position

Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $29.01
Potential payout: $29.5
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $9.01

Yes position

Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain?

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $18.65
Potential payout: $22.21
Potential profit: $3.55
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $5.77

Yes position

Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11.5
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.36

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.81

No position

Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.35

Yes position

Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.63

Yes position

Will Nicolas Jackson sign with a new club during the transfer window?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.53

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.43

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.08

No position

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.27

No position

Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.5

Yes position

Will Jadon Sancho sign with a new club during the transfer window?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.36

Yes position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

Yes position

Will Alexander Isak sign with a new club during the transfer window?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.11

No position

Will Sunderland be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.11

No position

Will Trump say "Friend and foe" this week? (September 8-14)

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.63

No position

OpenAI browser by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.14

No position

Will Newcastle finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.86

Yes position

Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.66

Yes position

Will Dortmund finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.96

No position

Will Trump say "Marxism" in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.44

Yes position

Will Rasmus Hojlund sign with a new club during the transfer window?