0xE09F5a24C68Be825a610c2d0e1ef720b69f0d33d-1776373959765

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.07
Potential profit: $181.07
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.8
Potential profit: $101.8
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $37.92
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.94
Potential profit: $37.94
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $34.46
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $6.93
Potential payout: $35.09
Potential profit: $28.16
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $1.93

Yes position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.94
Potential profit: $22.94
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.69
Potential profit: $16.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Saudi Arabia?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Iraq?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $12.82
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.49
Potential profit: $11.49
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.67
Potential profit: $10.67
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 England?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $7.59
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.11

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.09

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Ireland position

T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs Pakistan

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.11

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

No position

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Yes position

Will VOX (VOX) win 13-15 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?