Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.53K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$11.67
Polymarket Trader
Marty-Byrde
@PolymarketIQ
0xe0a2f29b1fadb2259111bbeca392d3805ec4a349
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.04K
- Realized PnL
- $17.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $3.42K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $341.56
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $332.29
- Potential payout
- $852.03
- Potential profit
- $519.74
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $96.57
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.6%
- Current value
- $397.74
- Potential payout
- $434.21
- Potential profit
- $36.47
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $20.28
- Potential payout
- $21.83
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56K
Yes position
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
No position
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $898.56
Yes position
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $757.15
No position
Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $697.9
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $595.37
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $535.34
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $522.71
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $457.28
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $447.62
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $447.52
3DMAX position
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $445.15
No position
Will Jake Paul fight Canelo Alvarez next?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $416.14
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.10ºC in August 2025?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $414.45
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.63
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $386.71
No position
Grokipedia released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $386.39
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.32
No position
Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.8
109k position
Will Bitcoin hit $107k or $109k first?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.23
Yes position
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $348.41
No position
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.5% 1,111 shares
- No one announced as next James Bond?Yes 90.6% 238.34 shares
- Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes 77% 111 shares
- Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes 75% 333 shares
- Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes 61% 110.99 shares
- Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes 54% 111 shares
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?Yes 22% 222 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 95.7% 33 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?Yes 55% 520.2 shares
- Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?Yes 58% 777 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?Yes 9.2% 333 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 96.1% 33 shares