Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $304.8
- Potential payout
- $12K
- Potential profit
- $11.7K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $4.8
Polymarket Trader
efghvcdbjkpqwo
0xe0a521d92b6b7d2b45e9d55f05e3a8be1c41f6a4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.87K
- Realized PnL
- -$36.24K
- Win rate
- 86.7%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $9.05K
- Potential payout
- $11.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $342.57
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $72.09
- Potential payout
- $11.09K
- Potential profit
- $11.02K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$49.9
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $924.78
- Potential payout
- $8.85K
- Potential profit
- $7.92K
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- -$75.21
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $8.57K
- Potential profit
- $7.44K
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$364.28
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.55K
- Potential payout
- $8.43K
- Potential profit
- $6.87K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $54.78
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $3.51K
- Potential payout
- $4.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $47.48
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $1.15K
- Potential payout
- $2.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $146.07
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $2.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $3.22
No position
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $622.99
- Potential payout
- $684.6
- Potential profit
- $61.61
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $109.54
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $270.4
- Potential payout
- $290.75
- Potential profit
- $20.35
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $50.4
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $198.86
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $28.41
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $62
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $38
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $448
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $401.3
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- $300.66
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $256
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $192.31
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $188.33
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $94.49
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.55
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $48
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $35.18
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $16.68
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$379.15
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$40.12K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 7% 41.6 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.9% 16,666.66 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 11.9% 59,145.04 shares
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.1% 8,000 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.4% 11,363.63 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 85% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 86% 2,000 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 86% 33,474.69 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No 29.7% 1,079.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 82% 3,494.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 75% 580 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 77% 2,800 shares