Polymarket Trader

The101

0xe0a82519abff8c758191356c82ea9885f8702fb3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.3K
Realized PnL: $1.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33K
Potential profit: $8.33K
User PnL: -$59.94

Yes position

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $579.82
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $568.34
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $73.98

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $899.34
Potential payout: $910.72
Potential profit: $11.38
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $280.05

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.99
Potential payout: $795.12
Potential profit: $793.13
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$155.69

Yes position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $742.55
Potential profit: $742.55
User PnL: -$14.85

Yes position

Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $304.27
Potential payout: $647.39
Potential profit: $343.12
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: $155.84

Yes position

Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $125.67
Potential payout: $584.5
Potential profit: $458.83
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$185.71

Yes position

Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $13.28
Potential payout: $523
Potential profit: $509.71
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$329.76

Yes position

Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $22.74
Potential payout: $473.71
Potential profit: $450.97
Multiplier: 20.83x
User PnL: -$84.78

Yes position

Will Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $449.99
Potential profit: $449.32
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$85.26

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $369.77
Potential profit: $369.77
User PnL: -$56.99

Yes position

Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $353.7
Potential payout: $353.7
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $127.83

Yes position

Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$71

Yes position

Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289
Potential profit: $289
User PnL: -$152.58

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.03
Potential profit: $138.03
User PnL: -$102.14

Yes position

Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $11.5
Potential profit: $11.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.96

Yes position

Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?

Yes 0.2% 392.02 shares
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?

Yes 0.2% 657.21 shares
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 0.1% 4.1 shares
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 0.1% 11.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Up 85% 7.3 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Up 68.4% 7.31 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Up 90% 3.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Up 85% 3.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

Down 98% 3.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Up 98% 1.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Down 95% 1.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Down 94% 3.19 shares