Polymarket Trader

0xE0baAe7e7F862a408A662338Cf9658B1Ed3dfa03-1771731668963

0xe0baae7e7f862a408a662338cf9658b1ed3dfa03

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $19.3K
Realized PnL: -$352.52
Win rate: 36.4%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 22.3%
Current value: $6.84K
Potential payout: $30.74K
Potential profit: $23.9K
Multiplier: 4.49x
User PnL: -$455.4

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $2.75K
Potential payout: $23.37K
Potential profit: $20.63K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $620.35

Yes position

Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $243.62
Potential payout: $20.3K
Potential profit: $20.06K
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: $6.98

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.6%
Current value: $2.66K
Potential payout: $18.29K
Potential profit: $15.63K
Multiplier: 6.87x
User PnL: $528.55

Yes position

Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $11.69K
Potential profit: $10.58K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$239.59

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $47.27
Potential payout: $7.27K
Potential profit: $7.23K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$32.73

Yes position

Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.35K
Potential profit: $5.35K
User PnL: -$1.5K

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.91K
Potential profit: $3.91K
User PnL: -$719.99

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $1.94K
Potential payout: $3.84K
Potential profit: $1.9K
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $140.25

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $55.58
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.95K
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$621.1

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.8K
Potential profit: $2.8K
User PnL: -$220

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $117.86
Potential payout: $2.38K
Potential profit: $2.26K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $17.86

Yes position

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $1.22K
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$54.94

Yes position

Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $388.89
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $1.83K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$11.11

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $47
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 14, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $1.88K
User PnL: -$33

No position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$700

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.58K
User PnL: -$600

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $61.56
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $9.1

No position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $531.67
Potential payout: $878.79
Potential profit: $347.12
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $31.67

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 13, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $824
Potential profit: $824
User PnL: -$18

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $655.29
Potential profit: $655.29
User PnL: -$180

Yes position

Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $106.52
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $328.26
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $6.52

No position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $356.35
Potential payout: $375.1
Potential profit: $18.75
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $112.53

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.91

No position

Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.37

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.55

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$27.74

Yes position

Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$35.73

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$101.04

No position

Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$235.85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

No 42% 1,666.67 shares
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11% 129.74 shares
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 28% 943.39 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 43% 2,558.14 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

No 60% 333.33 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 18% 2,333.33 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.8% 2,800 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.8% 10 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 47% 800 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

No 76% 100 shares
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Yes 11% 4,545.45 shares
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Yes 11% 4,545.45 shares