Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $171.05
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $928.95
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Polymarket Trader
BielBitcoin
@Bielbitcoin
0xe0c19393a74a5057d79a395e10553f16fd477eda
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.74K
- Realized PnL
- $768.29
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.7%
- Current value
- $63.25
- Potential payout
- $500.03
- Potential profit
- $436.77
- Multiplier
- 7.91x
- User PnL
- $7.13
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $399
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $349.82
- Potential payout
- $349.99
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- User PnL
- $142.32
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of May 11 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $291.45
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $8.55
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $131
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $69
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $41.65
- Potential payout
- $193.73
- Potential profit
- $152.08
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $153.83
- Potential payout
- $153.91
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $11.55
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $110.06
- Potential payout
- $118.66
- Potential profit
- $8.6
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 25 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$72
No position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$28
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $31.75
- Potential payout
- $33.78
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $4.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- $88.99
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.51
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.91
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $69.28
No position
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $51.41
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.43
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.15
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Suns
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.79
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.83
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $17.9
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.61
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.41
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.22
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.66
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.4
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.23
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.94
Thunder position
Lakers vs. Thunder
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.6
Celtics position
Celtics vs. 76ers
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?No 15% 22.71 shares
- Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?No 16% 18.03 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 35% 13.9 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 18?Down 0.1% 200 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?No 9% 37.44 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?No 10% 8.88 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?No 12% 29.99 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?No 13% 7.69 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?No 16% 16 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 24% 48.39 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes 25% 81.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 17?Yes 50% 160.97 shares