Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $571.66
- Potential payout
- $3.94K
- Potential profit
- $3.37K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$428.33
Polymarket Trader
Sitrike
0xe0cbc4c239a02979686f7994b5b8b1bdd3c25b30
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $571.66
- Realized PnL
- $151.71
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.21K
- Potential profit
- $2.21K
- User PnL
- -$205
Yes position
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800.66
- Potential profit
- $800.66
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $152.14
- Potential profit
- $152.14
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.89
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.61
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.01
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$246.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes 3.6% 694.44 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 25.4% 3,942.51 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 21.8% 4,682.7 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 32% 1,250.36 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 32% 15.63 shares
- Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes 1% 698.7 shares
- Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes 1.3% 152.14 shares
- Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes 2.3% 698.7 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes 10% 168.18 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes 11.9% 1,681.82 shares
- Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?Yes 1.2% 800.66 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes 10% 2,115.08 shares